Wednesday 30 October 2013

Round 4 NBL weekend Preview

Round 4 of the NBL is a big one with 6 games being played across the weekend starting on Halloween.

On Thursday night we will get to see the New Zealand Breakers taking on the Adelaide 36ers in NZ. This should be tough game with both teams coming away from a loss. The Breakers at the moment are at the bottom of the ladder and have decided to recruit former import forward Gary Wilkinson to help on offense. Whether this will get them over the line against a stacked line up from the Adelaide 36ers we will see on Halloween. The Breakers will have the home court advantage on their side and it will be loud. This game has some excellent match ups on the floor, with both teams having a genuine 7 foot centre (NZ Alex pledger, ADL Daniel Johnson), a gun import guard (NZ Kerron Johnson, ADL: Gary Ervin) and some forwards who like to play tough in Mika Vukona and Anthony Petrie. New Zealand may have the edge on Adelaide in that Adelaide are bit lacking in outside shooting. They have several players that can make the 3 but not at the clip that players like Darryl Corletto and CJ Bruton can, combining this and the home court advantage im picking new Zealand to get the win by 5 in what will be an entertaining and highly physical match up of two good teams.

Friday has two games with the first being the Townsville Crocodiles playing host to the Sydney Kings.
Townsville are known to play hard and this year have been playing some good unselfish basketball and for them to get the win this is what they will have to keep up. They need to pass a lot and let every player get a good touch of the ball. Townsvilles point guard Steven Markovic has been doing an incredibly good job at getting his team into the game and is distributing very well but will need the imports Josh Pace and Brian Conklin to hit some shots and get them going offensively. Sydney on the other hand need to get AJ Ogilvy the ball on the post. When they do they look a lot better on offense and opens up their shooters. Last week Sydney did well to stick with the Wildcats but fell short in the final quarter and couldn't get anything to work. They will be looking to get over that harsh loss with a win in their first game of this round.
Im picking Townsville to get the win at their home court by 4.

The second game on Friday night will be the Perth Wildcats taking on the Wollongong Hawks in Perth. At home the Wildcats who have looked absolutely unstoppable should easily get the win over the Hawks, but if all the Hawks players are hitting their shots and play within head coach Geordie McCleod system stranger things have happened. I'm picking the Wildcats by 12 because its a home game otherwise it might be a bit closer.

Saturday only has the one game with the Cairns Taipans at home taking on the Melbourne Tigers. These two
teams are quickly becoming a couple of my favorite teams. Cairns have put together a great looking squad with two gun import guards surrounded by an excellent shooting line up. I think all of them can explode on any given night and with the pressure off Jamar Wilson to alone create the plays its opened them up to be very dangerous. The Tigers this year are looking good with Chris Goulding showing he hasn't lost any of his fire power scoring 29 points last week and will be keen to keep that momentum going. If Mark Worthington is also making his drives and shots he is also a big threat on offense and is smart defensive player. This will be an entertaining game with the edge going to the Taipans due to the home court advantage to win by 6.

On Sunday we again have two games to watch.
In Adelaide the 36ers are taking on the Sydney Kings. This is the second game for both teams this round but the Kings played on Friday which may mean they a little more fatigued. I think Adelaide match up better against the Kings having more players that like to play a little harder and more physical. Adelaide should have an easier run on the inside and if they can contain Sydney's outside shooting they should run away with the W. Im picking Adelaide to win by 8.

The second game on Sunday is in Wollongong with the Hawks taking on the New Zealand Breakers with a tough round for the Hawks taking on both of last years two finalists. Wollongong will be thirsty for a win if they were beaten on Friday in Perth and will have be looking to play hard against the Breakers. The
breakers may be a bit disoriented matching up against the Hawks after playing the 36ers with these two teams playing completely different styles. The Hawks are very structured while the 36ers like a run and gun style. This may play into the Hawks favor and with a home town advantage they may be able to pull out the win. The Breakers will also be adjusting to the addition of Gary Wilkinson into the line up and may slow them down against Wollongongs structure play making. Rotnei Clark will have to be hitting his shots and if Rhys Martin can continue the form we saw late in last weeks game against Townsville they should get the win but it will be a hard fought game. I'm picking Wollongong to win by 2 at home.

So it looks like i have picked every home team to win this round. lets hope the odds are little less inclined in this way.

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